Nominees:Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock;Don Cheadle, House of Lies;Louis C.K., Louie; Jon Cryer, Two and a Half Men;Larry David, Curb Your Enthusiasm; Jim Parsons,The Big Bang Theory
Our pick to win: Louis C.K., Louie
FX's Louie doesn’t come close to attracting the number of viewers of, say, Modern Family. But this edgy comic is a critical darling and clearly a favorite among industry types; after all, he and his show garnered seven nominations this year. Emmy voters do love Jim Parsons, but he has already taken this trophy twice. C.K. definitely has the edge here.