GALLUP POLL SHOWS 14 POINT LEAD

iVillage Member
Registered: 05-11-2003
GALLUP POLL SHOWS 14 POINT LEAD
18
Fri, 09-17-2004 - 12:09am


GALLUP SHOWS BUSH BLOWOUT: 14 POINT LEAD OVER KERRY

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iVillage Member
Registered: 11-11-1999
Fri, 09-17-2004 - 12:27am
New Poll Shows Bush, Kerry in Virtual Tie

By WILL LESTER, AP





WASHINGTON (Sept. 16) - The GOP convention gave President Bush a double-digit lead, but the race has settled into a virtual tie with voters still worried about the economy and Iraq, according to polling by the Pew Research Center.

The first of two national polls by Pew, done Sept. 8-10, reflected the president's post-convention bounce. Bush was ahead of Democrat John Kerry 52-40 among registered voters and by an even wider margin, 54-39, among likely voters, a narrower group.



"Bush's vulnerabilities on Iraq and the economy continue, and these have anchored the race."

-Andrew Kohut



By the second poll, done Sept. 11-14, the Bush lead had evaporated. In that poll, Bush and Kerry were knotted at 46 percent among registered voters. Among likely voters, Bush was at 47 percent and Kerry at 46 percent.

"There is a great deal of instability and uncertainty in the electorate," said Andrew Kohut, director of the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press. "This poll finds a lot of the positive impact Bush had in the convention remains. But Bush's vulnerabilities on Iraq and the economy continue, and these have anchored the race."

After the Republican convention and its well-orchestrated criticism of Kerry, Bush grabbed a lead ranging from 5 points to 11 points in various national polls. That lead appeared to be shrinking in some polls by late last week, and a Harris poll out Thursday showed the race even.

"This gives Kerry an opportunity to stay in the hunt," said Kohut. "Some of the negatives that Kerry accumulated during the Republican convention have worn away."

Kerry's unfavorable ratings increased after the GOP convention but dropped slightly between the two waves of the poll. Fewer voters in the second poll had an unfavorable view of the Democrat, said Kerry is too quick to change his mind, and believed the risk of terrorism would be higher if he were elected


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And, I give links that actually backup what I claim.

http://aolsvc.news.aol.com/elections/article.adp?id=20040916163809990011

dablacksox


Cynic: a blackguard whose faulty vision sees things as they are, not as they ought to be.---Ambrose Bierce, The Devil's Dictionary.

iVillage Member
Registered: 05-24-2004
Fri, 09-17-2004 - 12:34am
Yeah were did you get this info? From 2 days after the Republican convention? Cause I've been watching a lot of news and news channels; everything I've seen today sais they are running neck and neck.

Venus

iVillage Member
Registered: 06-17-2004
Fri, 09-17-2004 - 12:38am

That's quite a post-convention bounce!

Renee ~~~

iVillage Member
Registered: 04-18-2004
Fri, 09-17-2004 - 1:13am

VENUS!!!

Miffy - Co-CL For The Politics Today Board

iVillage Member
Registered: 05-24-2004
Fri, 09-17-2004 - 1:23am
Hi there. Life is good, I made it through the storms and am finally back on board. But alas now I must go to sleep, before I get swallowed alive by the politics of it all!!!!

Goodnight all,

Venus

iVillage Member
Registered: 07-20-2003
Fri, 09-17-2004 - 1:28am
Anyone who truly believes there is a 14 point spread between the candidates is deluding themselves.

From http://www.pollingreport.com/

Dcorps (9/14)

Bush 49

Kerry 48

ICR (9/12)

Bush 52

Kerry 44

IBD/CSM/TIPP (9/12)

Bush 47

Kerry 47

Newsweek (9/10)

Bush 50

Kerry 45

Edited 9/17/2004 1:31 am ET ET by blueishxx


Edited 9/17/2004 1:33 am ET ET by blueishxx

iVillage Member
Registered: 08-24-2004
Fri, 09-17-2004 - 6:55am
Selectively picked the one and only Poll that gave figures you liked, blacksox.
iVillage Member
Registered: 08-24-2004
Fri, 09-17-2004 - 6:57am
This is worth repeating, renee, because I don't think some people are paying attention.

______________________________

'President Bush has surged to a 13-point lead over Sen. John Kerry among likely voters, a new Gallup Poll shows. The 55%-42% match-up is the first statistically significant edge either candidate has held this year.

Among registered voters, Bush is ahead 52%-44%.

The boost Bush received from the Republican convention has increased rather than dissipated, reshaping a race that for months has been nearly tied. Kerry is facing warnings from Democrats that his campaign is seriously off-track.'

http://usatoday.printthis.clickability.com/pt/cpt?action=cpt&title=USATODAY.com+-+Bush+clear+leader+in+poll&expire=&urlID=11666886&fb=Y&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.usatoday.com%2Fnews%2Fpoliticselections%2Fnation%2Fpresident%2F2004-09-17-gallup-poll_x.htm%3FPOE%3DNEWISVA&partnerID=1660

Avatar for tmcgoughy
iVillage Member
Registered: 04-08-2003
Fri, 09-17-2004 - 8:44am
The only poll that matters is the one that will be taken on November 2nd.
The first key to wisdom is constant and frequent questioning, for by doubting we are led to question and by questioning we arrive at the truth.  -
iVillage Member
Registered: 05-28-2003
Fri, 09-17-2004 - 9:17am
Is this the same poll that Zobgy said used 60% of registered Republicans?

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