GOP Convention Bounce Over

iVillage Member
Registered: 09-06-2008
GOP Convention Bounce Over
Thu, 09-11-2008 - 11:55am
At least that's what the polls seem to suggest:


Daily Kos

McCain's Bounce Over by brownsox

Wed Sep 10, 2008 at 04:20:58 PM PDT

DemFromCT sagely noted on Monday that the post-convention bounce for Obama was not seen fully in tracking polls until the Tuesday after the Democratic convention, and that by this time in the week, we might see the completion of McCain's bounce.



It appears this is true for John McCain's post-convention bounce. Now the numbers have stabilized, and we can see the bounce in full.



Rasmussen: Numbers are  Wed (Tue) (Mon) (Sun) (Sat) (Fri) (Thu).



Rep Convention

Obama  48 (48) (47) (48) (49) (48) (50)

McCain 47 (48) (48) (48) (46) (46) (45)



Obama's a point up now, after being tied the previous day, and a point behind on Monday. It seems that McCain is finished bouncing (though the flipping and flopping ought to continue for some time).



Gallup's numbers also show the race having stabilized (though unlike Rasmussen, they show a five-point advantage for McCain; Gallup also showed a larger Obama bounce after the Democratic convention).



Gallup: Numbers are  Wed (Tue) (Mon) (Sun) (Sat) (Fri) (Thu).



Rep Convention Bounce

Obama  43 (44) (44) (45) (47) (48) (49)

McCain 48 (49) (49) (48) (45) (44) (42)



Diageo/Hotline's numbers show a tie, like Rasmussen's. They also agree: the bounce is over. They don't publish on weekends, but they show for Monday-Wednesday:



Obama  45 (44) (44)  

McCain 45 (45) (44)  



The numbers don't appear to be moving much. McCain's bounce, significant though it was, appears to be over. Per Rasmussen and Diageo/Hotline, the race is still tied or very close. That isn't bad news for Obama.

Now in darkness, world stops turning
Ashes where the bodies burning
No more war pigs have the power
Hand of God has sturck the hour
Day of judgement, God is calling
On their knees, the war pigs crawling Begging