From 129 to 540 pediatric h1n1 deaths

iVillage Member
Registered: 12-14-2005
From 129 to 540 pediatric h1n1 deaths
12
Mon, 11-30-2009 - 3:37pm

CDC Announces a Huge Rise in the Estimated Pediatric Death Toll From Swine Flu
by Melissa Rayworth (Subscribe to Melissa Rayworth's posts) Nov 30th 2009 1:30PM

The new numbers are startling: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced at a recent press conference that in the past six months, an estimated 540 children have died in the U.S. from the H1N1 virus, known as swine flu. Just days ago, the estimate stood at just 129 children.

How did the numbers change so dramatically?

A revised method of estimating swine flu deaths has "gone beyond lab-confirmed cases" to "provide a bigger picture," said Dr. Anne Schuchat, director of the National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, at the press conference. The CDC is "finally able to update the public about how big a toll this pandemic is taking," she said. "We feel comfortable these are appropriate estimates."

In addition to the 540 deaths, the CDC now estimates that 36,000 children have been hospitalized with H1N1 during the first six months of the pandemic. "I am expecting all these numbers, unfortunately, to continue to rise," Schuchat said, as flu season continues throughout the winter.The CDC is urging parents to have their children vaccinated as soon as possible. But some parents remain concerned about the vaccine's safety. Schuchat said the CDC is confident that the vaccine is safe, but she conceded that some pediatricians are wary about offering it.

"Some individual providers are skeptical," she said, but the CDC can't say how many. They have no data on the percentage of doctors around the country opting not to offer the vaccine.

Schuchat also addressed the worry facing many other parents across the country -- vaccine shortages. Availability varies around the country, though most communities are offering the vaccine to kids and those with underlying medical conditions that make them especially vulnerable.

Again, no hard numbers about availability in specific communities, but "more vaccine is being ordered, delivered and used every day," she said. "Access and convenience, ease of getting vaccinated will improve" throughout the country in the coming weeks.

http://www.parentdish.com/2009/11/30/cdc-announces-huge-rise-in-kids-swine-flu-h1n1-deaths/






Pages

iVillage Member
Registered: 01-28-2007
Mon, 11-30-2009 - 5:09pm
I'm disgusted at the fact that they are using ESTIMATION as a fear tool to push a vaccine. I'm not interested in estimates. They should provide concrete, lab backed numbers. If they can't give that, then they should break it down specifically into known and suspected.


Lilypie 2nd Birthday Ticker

Lilypie Breastfeeding Ticker

Lilypie 2nd Birthday Ticker

iVillage Member
Registered: 06-16-2009
Tue, 12-01-2009 - 2:22am
I agree completely.

Photobucket

iVillage Member
Registered: 06-24-2008
Tue, 12-01-2009 - 12:27pm

interesting article .. b/c on the news today they said "health officials" estimate only about 200 deaths among children in the U.S.

Either way .. I'm curious how the determination is made that it is a death from H1N1.




Photobucket


Photobucket






Happy Fall blinkie Pictures, Images and Photos








Photobucket


Photobucket
iVillage Member
Registered: 04-09-2008
Mon, 12-07-2009 - 7:51am
I posted something on this on a different thread from a different press conference, which I may come back across today as I'm getting caught up. From that press conference, where the number of deaths more than tripled, the numbers derived from assuming some deaths were really miscoded, and some deaths where someone didn't go to the hospital were really from H1N1. In other words, the deaths from H1N1 is absolutely no different than the number of deaths from the regular flu - pulled completely from thin air.
Photobucket Photobucket

Rands

iVillage Member
Registered: 06-24-2008
Mon, 12-07-2009 - 9:33am
Not surprising. I haven't kept up with "official" news reports .. but there has been a sharp decline in the number of people being admitted with H1N1 .. think it's peaked already??



Photobucket


Photobucket






Happy Fall blinkie Pictures, Images and Photos








Photobucket


Photobucket
iVillage Member
Registered: 04-09-2008
Mon, 12-07-2009 - 10:05am

Maybe it depends on where you're located, and if the virus has a GPS? ;-) Some up - some down. In looking at CDC's figures and estimates, IMO, it again becomes unclear at what the hell it means, given that what's being tracked is Influenza like Illness, and Influenza Associated Hospitalizations and Deaths.


Here's from the 4th of Dec: http://cdc.gov/h1n1flu/update.htm


Rands

iVillage Member
Registered: 07-17-2005
Mon, 12-07-2009 - 2:42pm

"In other words, the deaths from H1N1 is absolutely no different than the number of deaths from the regular flu - pulled completely from thin air."

From thin air??? Now I'm pretty sure they have a hat to pull numbers from...looks like one of those magician hats from what I understand!

iVillage Member
Registered: 04-09-2008
Tue, 12-15-2009 - 7:55am

Update on this.

Rands

iVillage Member
Registered: 09-11-2003
Tue, 12-15-2009 - 10:18pm
Please read an opinion post about the recall at http://babyminding.com/2009/12/15/h1n1-flu-vaccine-recall/ and leave your thoughts in comments. I'm interested to know how you ladies feel about this. So far, I've opted out of the vaccine and I think we have already had the swine flu. My children did well with it, but I have asthma and am still struggling 6 weeks later with lung pain, even after several antibiotics.
iVillage Member
Registered: 07-17-2005
Wed, 12-16-2009 - 1:45am

Thanks for the link to your blog!

You may be interested in reading these:

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1904045/?tool=pubmed

http://www.beforeyoutakethatpill.com/topics/asthma/effects-of-lifestyle-and-exercise-changes-on-asthma.html

http://www.beforeyoutakethatpill.com/topics/asthma/what-causes-asthma.html

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article701095.ece

http://thorax.bmj.com/cgi/content/abstract/62/1/91

http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2006/apr/16/health.healthandwellbeing

http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld200607/ldselect/ldsctech/166/16602.htm

http://www.medications.com/effect/view/38046

http://www.emofree.com/

http://www.viddler.com/explore/mercola/videos/123/10.043/

http://www.drugs.com/sfx/zyrtec-side-effects.html

http://www.newsinferno.com/archives/2803

http://ezinearticles.com/?What-Causes-Asthma?&id=1063364

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/06/health/policy/06allergy.html?em

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18025315?ordinalpos=1&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DefaultReportPanel.Pubmed_RVDocSum

http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?tool=pubmed&pubmedid=4584127

http://www.medicinenet.com/script/main/art.asp?articlekey=100522

http://messageboards.ivillage.com/n/mb/message.asp?webtag=iv-ppvaccinedb&msg=4536.1&ctx=0

http://www.theatlantic.com/issues/2000/05/shell3.htm

http://www.allergykids.com/

http://thorax.bmj.com/cgi/content/abstract/53/11/927

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10714532

http://www.chestjournal.org/content/129/3/610.abstract

http://barbfeick.com/vaccinations/index.html

http://www.foodallergyangel.com/

I don't mean to overwhelm you, and my apologies if some are not relevant, I didn't have time to go through them. I have had a few experiences with allergies and I'm convinced asthma is just another form of allergies. These are pieces I've collected over a few years.

Pages